Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Blackpool are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Barnsley are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40