Blackpoolvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/17/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Blackpool are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
65.7%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60