Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Blackburn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Walsall are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (68.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the League Cup, while Blackburn holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackburn
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Blackburn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00