Blackburn Rovers U21vs
Reading U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackburn Rovers U21 2-3 Reading U21
Original prediction
Reading U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.8% | 29.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.1% | 17.8% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.1% | 52.5% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Reading U21
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Reading U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20