Blackburn Rovers U21vs
Queens Park Rangers U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Queens Park Rangers U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackburn Rovers U21 4-2 Queens Park Rangers U21
Original prediction
Queens Park Rangers U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.6% | 21.1% | -21.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.6% | 17.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 61.0% | 26.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
26.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Queens Park Rangers U21
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Queens Park Rangers U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00