Blackburn Rovers U21vs
Bolton Wanderers Res.
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackburn Rovers U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Blackburn Rovers U21 3-3 Bolton Wanderers Res.
Original prediction
Blackburn Rovers U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.0% | 47.3% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.7% | 24.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.3% | 28.7% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Blackburn Rovers U21
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Blackburn Rovers U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00