Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ESMTK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKV Előre are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while ESMTK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and ESMTK hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (6.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the NB III - Southeast, while ESMTK holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ESMTK
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
10.2%
ESMTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20