BKMAvs
Sardarapat
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sardarapat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BKMA 1-1 Sardarapat
Original prediction
Sardarapat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.1% | 31.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 25.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sardarapat
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Sardarapat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80