BKMAvs
Ararat-Armenia
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BKMA 0-1 Ararat-Armenia
Original prediction
Ararat-Armenia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.67 | 9.3% | 10.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.48 | 16.5% | 17.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 74.2% | 72.5% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80