Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BKMA are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Alashkert are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alashkert hold a 73.8-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 100.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Premier League, while Alashkert holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alashkert
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00