Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
BK Hacken are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sirius are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 80.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
9.2%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80