Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
BK Hacken are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Polessya are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40