BK Hackenvs
Orgryte IS
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BK Hacken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BK Hacken 3-0 Orgryte IS
Original prediction
BK Hacken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.1% | 67.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 17.0% | 18.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 7.79 | 11.9% | 14.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
BK Hacken
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80