Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
BK Hacken are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Molde are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80