Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
BK Hacken are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gais are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.3 against 54.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Allsvenskan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
14.2%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60