GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BK Hacken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BK Hacken are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BK Hacken hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while BK Hacken holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BK Hacken

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BK HackenWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BK HackenFK Zalgiris Vilnius
53.3Attack16.7
30.0Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
38.8Power11.2
2.05xG1.57
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