BK Hackenvs
Degerfors IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BK Hacken · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BK Hacken 4-0 Degerfors IF
Original prediction
BK Hacken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.7% | 65.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.5% | 20.2% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 13.8% | 14.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
BK Hacken
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40