GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayer Leverkusen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

BK Hacken are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bayer Leverkusen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayer Leverkusen hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Bayer Leverkusen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayer Leverkusen

Probability

77.0%

Model confidence

77.0%

Bayer Leverkusen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BK HackenWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BK HackenBayer Leverkusen
53.3Attack79.5
30.0Defence66.7
33.3Form76.9
38.8Power73.5
1.03xG3.39
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