Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BK Hacken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BK Hacken are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aberdeen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BK Hacken hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (38.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while BK Hacken holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BK Hacken
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
BK Hacken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60