3. Division - Girone 63. Division - Girone 6
Thursday, 25 June 2026Last updated 10:09
Bjørkelangen

Bjørkelangen

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W
20
Full time
Sarpsborg 08 II

Sarpsborg 08 II

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Sarpsborg 08 II(42%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Bjørkelangen
Win probability
Bjørkelangen
32%
Draw
26%
Sarpsborg 08 II
42%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bjørkelangen
73
Sarpsborg 08 II
9
Defence
Bjørkelangen
91
Sarpsborg 08 II
27
Momentum
Bjørkelangen
100
Sarpsborg 08 II
0
Danger (xG)
Bjørkelangen
1.80
Sarpsborg 08 II
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Bjørkelangen)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sarpsborg 08 II)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Bjørkelangen)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sarpsborg 08 II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BjørkelangenBjørkelangen
WL
Sarpsborg 08 IISarpsborg 08 II
L

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Bjørkelangen32%
Draw26%
Sarpsborg 08 II42%

Sarpsborg 08 II leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bjørkelangen head into this in 3. Division - Girone 6 fixture in mixed form (W), while Sarpsborg 08 II arrive in mixed form (L). Bjørkelangen have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sarpsborg 08 II over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Bjørkelangen's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Sarpsborg 08 II defence (27/100), while Sarpsborg 08 II's attack is up against a watertight Bjørkelangen backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Bjørkelangen's favour.

Bjørkelangen have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Sarpsborg 08 II have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Bjørkelangen have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Sarpsborg 08 II to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Bjørkelangen 3191%, Draw 2570%, Sarpsborg 08 II 4239%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Bjørkelangen 1Draws 00 Sarpsborg 08 II
Avg goals: 2.0
25 Jun 2026
Bjørkelangen
W20
Sarpsborg 08 II

Recent form

Bjørkelangen

Bjørkelangen

W
vs Sarpsborg 08 II
25 Jun 2026
20
L
@ Ørn Horten
16 May 2026
24
Sarpsborg 08 II

Sarpsborg 08 II

L
@ Bjørkelangen
25 Jun 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bjørkelangen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

GoalVio's model predicts Sarpsborg 08 II to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bjørkelangen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Bjørkelangen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bjørkelangen vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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