Bjelovarvs
Varteks Varaždin
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bjelovar 1-1 Varteks Varaždin
Original prediction
Bjelovar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.6% | 53.9% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 23.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.70 | 15.8% | 23.1% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00