Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bjelovar 0-2 Trnje
Original prediction
Bjelovar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.3% | 54.2% | 16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 21.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.4% | 23.9% | -12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BjelovarWDWDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrnjeWDDLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BjelovarTrnje
54.4Attack33.3
42.2Defence45.6
43.3Form36.7
47.6Power40.2
1.95xG1.04