Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bjelovar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Trnje are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bjelovar hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Second NL, while Bjelovar holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
11.4%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20