GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bjelovar 4-0 Koprivnica

Original prediction

Bjelovar

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5160.0%71.3%11.4 pts
Draw4.0722.3%15.8%-6.5 pts
Away5.1117.8%12.9%-4.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.3–08%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Bjelovar

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

71.3%

Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BjelovarLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KoprivnicaLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BjelovarKoprivnica
70.8Attack41.7
50.0Defence20.8
58.3Form20.8
59.5Power30.4
3.45xG1.09
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