Bjelovarvs
Grobničan Čavle
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjelovar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bjelovar 4-0 Grobničan Čavle
Original prediction
Bjelovar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.7% | 45.3% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 21.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.98 | 18.1% | 32.9% | 14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bjelovar
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Bjelovar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60