Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bjarg 6-1 Træff
Original prediction
Bjarg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.0% | 52.1% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 20.2% | 23.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.72 | 15.7% | 24.4% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BjargLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TræffLDWDW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BjargTræff
83.3Attack66.7
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form44.4
74.3Power51.1
2.25xG1.37