Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Bjarg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sotra are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 73.1-point power-rating edge (6.7 v 79.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sotra holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60