Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceBjarg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sotra are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division - Group 1, favouring a draw with 14.2% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BjargWWWLW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SotraLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BjargSotra
50.0Attack41.0
50.0Defence61.5
50.0Form44.9
50.0Power50.1
1.30xG1.17