Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bjarg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mjondalen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 2. Division - Group 1, while Bjarg holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
11.5%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80