Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Bjarg are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Eiger are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bjarg hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Bjarg holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
82.2%
Model confidence
82.2%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.25/2.50
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50