Biwako Shigavs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/9/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Biwako Shiga 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Original prediction
Tokyo Verdy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 18.3% | 33.2% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.2% | 27.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.5% | 39.6% | -18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00