Biwako Shigavs
Roasso Kumamoto
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Biwako Shiga 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.3% | 34.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 30.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 35.2% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.19 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.0%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Biwako ShigaLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Roasso KumamotoLWDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Biwako ShigaRoasso Kumamoto
58.3Attack29.2
41.7Defence83.3
50.0Form54.2
50.5Power58.1
1.08xG1.03