Biwako Shigavs
Kanazawa
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kanazawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Biwako Shiga 1-5 Kanazawa
Original prediction
Kanazawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 31.7% | 35.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 25.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.5% | 38.9% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kanazawa
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Kanazawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Biwako ShigaLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KanazawaLLDWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Biwako ShigaKanazawa
44.4Attack50.0
47.2Defence50.0
38.9Form38.9
44.6Power47.7
1.42xG1.45