Biwako Shigavs
Gainare Tottori
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biwako Shiga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Biwako Shiga 0-1 Gainare Tottori
Original prediction
Biwako Shiga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.4% | 44.6% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 26.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.8% | 29.4% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Biwako Shiga
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Biwako Shiga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60