BITvs
Xiamen Feilu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xiamen Feilu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BIT 2-2 Xiamen Feilu
Original prediction
Xiamen Feilu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.4% | 31.6% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 29.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.7% | 39.4% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Xiamen Feilu
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Xiamen Feilu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60