BITvs
Shangyu Pterosaur
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BIT 1-0 Shangyu Pterosaur
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.6% | 35.6% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.7% | 31.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.8% | 33.3% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BITWDWLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shangyu PterosaurLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BITShangyu Pterosaur
31.8Attack28.8
36.4Defence51.5
24.2Form39.4
33.7Power42.0
0.96xG1.03