BITvs
Chengdu Rongcheng II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Rongcheng II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: BIT 0-0 Chengdu Rongcheng II, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
BIT 2-0 Chengdu Rongcheng II
Original prediction
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.76 | 18.8% | 27.5% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 31.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 53.8% | 41.3% | -12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Projected Score
BIT 0–0 Chengdu Rongcheng II
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Rongcheng II
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Chengdu Rongcheng II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00