Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bistrica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bistrica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rudar are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bistrica hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the 2. SNL, while Bistrica holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bistrica
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Bistrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.50