Bistricavs
Dren Vrhnika
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bistrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bistrica 2-0 Dren Vrhnika
Original prediction
Bistrica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.1% | 39.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bistrica
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bistrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BistricaWLDLD
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dren VrhnikaWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BistricaDren Vrhnika
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power88.7
1.57xG1.32