GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bishop's Stortford · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bishop's Stortford 2-4 Racing Club Warwick

Original prediction

Bishop's Stortford

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.1%40.5%1.3 pts
Draw3.4126.2%27.2%1.0 pts
Away2.5834.6%32.3%-2.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Bishop's Stortford

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Bishop's Stortford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bishop's StortfordLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Racing Club WarwickDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bishop's StortfordRacing Club Warwick
37.0Attack36.7
51.9Defence53.3
37.0Form33.3
42.8Power44.0
1.15xG0.97
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