Bishop's Stortfordvs
Hitchin Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hitchin Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bishop's Stortford 2-0 Hitchin Town
Original prediction
Hitchin Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.9% | 35.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.7% | 26.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.4% | 38.4% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Hitchin Town
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Hitchin Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60