GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chester · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Bishop's Stortford are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Chester are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chester hold a 63.2-point power-rating edge (23.3 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.8% in the National League - North, while Chester holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chester

Probability

75.8%

Model confidence

75.8%

Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bishop's StortfordWLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
ChesterL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Bishop's StortfordChester
25.4Attack66.7
18.8Defence83.3
15.2Form100.0
23.3Power86.5
0.63xG2.57
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