Bishop's Stortfordvs
Bury Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Bury Town
Original prediction
Bury Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.7% | 19.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 23.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.8% | 56.8% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Bury Town
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Bury Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00