Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bisceglie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bisceglie 0-2 Brindisi
Original prediction
Bisceglie
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.3% | 39.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.6% | 28.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.2% | 31.9% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bisceglie
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Bisceglie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BisceglieLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BrindisiWWWWL
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BisceglieBrindisi
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24