Birzebbugavs
Sliema Wanderers
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sliema Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Birzebbuga 1-2 Sliema Wanderers
Original prediction
Sliema Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.72 | 24.7% | 35.1% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.1% | 28.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 48.3% | 36.8% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sliema Wanderers
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Sliema Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80