Birminghamvs
Peterborough
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 4/13/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Peterborough are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40