Birminghamvs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Birmingham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40