Birminghamvs
Bradford
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 2/18/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Birmingham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bradford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20