GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Birmingham LegionTampa Bay Rowdies
35.3Attack63.2
58.8Defence66.7
33.3Form71.9
45.0Power68.3
0.70xG1.54
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