GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Birmingham LegionPittsburgh Riverhounds
35.3Attack35.1
58.8Defence64.9
33.3Form47.4
45.0Power51.2
0.78xG0.81
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