GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Birmingham Legion are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.7% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

21.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Birmingham LegionDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Birmingham LegionPittsburgh Riverhounds
35.3Attack35.1
58.8Defence64.9
33.3Form47.4
45.0Power51.2
0.78xG0.81
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